The Science of Conjecture

The Science of Conjecture

by James Franklin

1 mentors recommend this 516 pages

"In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. Sometimes this type of reasoning avoided numbers entirely, as in the legal standard of "proof beyond a reasonable doubt"; at other times it involved rough numerical estimates, such as gambling odds or the level of risk in chance events. The Science of Con

ISBN: 9780801871092

🎯 Who Recommends This Book 1

Nassim Taleb

Nassim Taleb

Finance & Investing

"Stands above, way above other books on the history and philosophy of probability."